Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Argentinos Juniors Res. prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Vélez Sársfield Res. host Argentinos Juniors Res. in the Reserve League (Argentina) on 1 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Vélez Sársfield Res. to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.14, which the bookmaker market rated at about 80% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–1 Argentinos Juniors Res..

Going into the match, Vélez Sársfield Res. had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 3. Argentinos Juniors Res. had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 1 of Vélez Sársfield Res.'s last 10 and 3 of Argentinos Juniors Res.'s last 10; 1 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vélez Sársfield Res. averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Argentinos Juniors Res. averaged 0.82 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Vélez Sársfield Res. and 0.36 from Argentinos Juniors Res.. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 9%, against 58%, 25% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 91%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Vélez Sársfield Res. (green) and Argentinos Juniors Res. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

• 29 Apr 2026 · Argentinos Juniors Res. 1–2 Vélez Sársfield Res.

More on this match

• Vélez Sársfield Res. form and statistics
• Argentinos Juniors Res. form and statistics
• Reserve League statistics