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Regionalliga - South · Austria
Velden vs Treibach prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Velden host Treibach in the Regionalliga - South (Austria) on 2 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Velden to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Velden 2–1 Treibach.
Going into the match, Velden had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 9. Treibach had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Velden's last 10 and 4 of Treibach's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Velden averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Treibach averaged 1.22 scored and 2.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.22 goals from Velden and 1.00 from Treibach. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 15%, against 47%, 24% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Velden (green) and Treibach (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Aug 2026 · Treibach 0–0 Velden
- 10 Apr 2026 · Treibach 2–0 Velden
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.29 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Velden Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.