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Regionalliga - South · Austria
Velden vs Donau Klagenfurt prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Velden host Donau Klagenfurt in the Regionalliga - South (Austria) on 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Velden 1–1 Donau Klagenfurt.
Going into the match, Velden had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 9. Donau Klagenfurt had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Velden's last 10 and 6 of Donau Klagenfurt's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Velden averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Donau Klagenfurt averaged 1.18 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Velden and 0.78 from Donau Klagenfurt. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 13%, against 77%, 15% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Velden (green) and Donau Klagenfurt (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velden | WWDWW | 1.90 | 0.90 | 60% | 60% |
| Donau Klagenfurt | WLLLD | 1.10 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Aug 2026 · Donau Klagenfurt 2–3 Velden
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 63% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Velden 1st Half Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Velden HT & FT | 57% | 1.62 |
| 3-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Regionalliga - South matches that day
- Allerheiligen vs Hartberg (Am) · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - South
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–4 - Deutschlandsberger SC vs Tillmitsch · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - South
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 2–1 - SV Lafnitz vs Gleisdorf 09 · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - South
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.59 · FT 4–2 - Weiz vs Kalsdorf · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - South
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 0–0 - Wolfsberg vs Treibach · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - South
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 2–1 - Völkermarkt vs Austria Klagenfurt · 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Regionalliga - South
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–0