Home › League stats › J2 League › Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata
J2 League · Japan
Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vegalta Sendai host Jubilo Iwata in the J2 League (Japan) on 4 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vegalta Sendai 2–1 Jubilo Iwata.
Going into the match, Vegalta Sendai had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Jubilo Iwata had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Vegalta Sendai's last 10 and 6 of Jubilo Iwata's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vegalta Sendai averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Jubilo Iwata averaged 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Vegalta Sendai and 1.10 from Jubilo Iwata. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 24%, against 42%, 29% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vegalta Sendai (green) and Jubilo Iwata (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegalta Sendai | WWDLW | 1.90 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Jubilo Iwata | WLLWL | 1.60 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.