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NB I · Hungary
Vasas vs Kisvarda FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vasas host Kisvarda FC in the NB I (Hungary) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vasas 1–1 Kisvarda FC.
Going into the match, Vasas had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 13. Kisvarda FC had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Vasas's last 10 and 5 of Kisvarda FC's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vasas averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Kisvarda FC averaged 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Vasas and 1.10 from Kisvarda FC. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 26%, against 53%, 25% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vasas (green) and Kisvarda FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasas | WWWLL | 2.20 | 1.30 | 70% | 80% |
| Kisvarda FC | LWWDD | 1.90 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Jul 2026 · Vasas 3–1 Kisvarda FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.