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Second NL · Croatia
Varteks Varaždin vs Koprivnica prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Varteks Varaždin host Koprivnica in the Second NL (Croatia) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Varteks Varaždin to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Varteks Varaždin 1–1 Koprivnica.
Going into the match, Varteks Varaždin had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 19. Koprivnica had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Varteks Varaždin's last 10 and 6 of Koprivnica's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Varteks Varaždin averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Koprivnica averaged 1.67 scored and 2.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.50 goals from Varteks Varaždin and 1.11 from Koprivnica. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Varteks Varaždin (green) and Koprivnica (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varteks Varaždin | DLWLL | 1.00 | 1.90 | 50% | 50% |
| Koprivnica | LLLLL | 1.40 | 2.50 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Varteks Varaždin Win | 38% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.