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3. liga - CFL B · Czech Republic
Varnsdorf vs Slovan Liberec II prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Varnsdorf host Slovan Liberec II in the 3. liga - CFL B (Czech Republic) on 4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Varnsdorf 1–1 Slovan Liberec II.
Going into the match, Varnsdorf had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 17. Slovan Liberec II had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Varnsdorf's last 10 and 6 of Slovan Liberec II's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Varnsdorf averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Slovan Liberec II averaged 1.73 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.38 goals from Varnsdorf and 1.59 from Slovan Liberec II. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 25%, against 64%, 19% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Varnsdorf (green) and Slovan Liberec II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varnsdorf | LLDWW | 1.90 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
| Slovan Liberec II | LLLDL | 1.40 | 2.60 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Varnsdorf 1–2 Slovan Liberec II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| Varnsdorf Win | 64% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Varnsdorf HT & FT | 46% | 2.00 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.