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Liga 3 · Georgia
Varketili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Varketili host Dinamo Tbilisi II in the Liga 3 (Georgia) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Varketili Win — Varketili to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Varketili had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 8. Dinamo Tbilisi II had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Varketili's last 10 and 8 of Dinamo Tbilisi II's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Varketili averaged 3.18 goals scored and 0.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Dinamo Tbilisi II averaged 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.57 goals from Varketili and 0.97 from Dinamo Tbilisi II. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 11%, against 63%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Varketili (green) and Dinamo Tbilisi II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varketili | LDDWD | 2.10 | 0.80 | 40% | 50% |
| Dinamo Tbilisi II | LWDDW | 2.10 | 2.20 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Apr 2026 · Dinamo Tbilisi II 1–2 Varketili
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Varketili Win | 63% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.64 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.68 |
| Varketili HT & FT | 44% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.38 |
| 2-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.