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Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Spain
Varea vs Agoncillo prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Varea host Agoncillo in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Varea 1–0 Agoncillo.
Going into the match, Varea had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Agoncillo had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Varea's last 10 and 9 of Agoncillo's last 10; 0 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Varea averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Agoncillo averaged 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Varea and 0.74 from Agoncillo. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 21%. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Varea (green) and Agoncillo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Varea 3–1 Agoncillo