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Superettan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC · Påskbergsvallen, Varberg
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Varbergs BoIS FC host Ljungskile SK in the Superettan (Sweden) on 1 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Varbergs BoIS FC had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Ljungskile SK had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Varbergs BoIS FC's last 10 and 5 of Ljungskile SK's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Varbergs BoIS FC averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Ljungskile SK averaged 1.36 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Varbergs BoIS FC and 1.03 from Ljungskile SK. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 21%, against 46%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Varbergs BoIS FC (green) and Ljungskile SK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varbergs BoIS FC | DDDWW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 70% | 50% |
| Ljungskile SK | DWDLL | 1.10 | 1.10 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Ljungskile SK 1–3 Varbergs BoIS FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.