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1. Lig · Turkey
Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vanspor FK host Ümraniyespor in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vanspor FK 0–2 Ümraniyespor.
Going into the match, Vanspor FK had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 20. Ümraniyespor had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Vanspor FK's last 10 and 6 of Ümraniyespor's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vanspor FK averaged 0.71 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Ümraniyespor averaged 1.50 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Vanspor FK and 1.32 from Ümraniyespor. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 41%, against 43%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vanspor FK (green) and Ümraniyespor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor FK | WLLDD | 1.00 | 2.00 | 60% | 50% |
| Ümraniyespor | DWLLL | 0.80 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Apr 2026 · Ümraniyespor 1–2 Vanspor FK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Lig matches that day
- İstanbulspor vs Antalyaspor · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 0–2 - Kayserispor vs Batman Petrolspor · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Iğdır FK vs Boluspor · 18 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · 1. Lig
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–0