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1. Lig · Turkey
Vanspor FK vs Bandırmaspor prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vanspor FK host Bandırmaspor in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 9 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vanspor FK 0–2 Bandırmaspor.
Going into the match, Vanspor FK had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 23. Bandırmaspor had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Vanspor FK's last 10 and 4 of Bandırmaspor's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vanspor FK averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Bandırmaspor averaged 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.72 goals from Vanspor FK and 1.70 from Bandırmaspor. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 60%, against 28%, 28% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vanspor FK (green) and Bandırmaspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanspor FK | LDDLD | 1.00 | 2.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Bandırmaspor | LDWLD | 1.40 | 0.60 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Bandırmaspor Win | 43% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.