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Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Sweden
Vänersborgs FK vs Kumla prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vänersborgs FK host Kumla in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Sweden) on 8 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vänersborgs FK 3–3 Kumla.
Going into the match, Vänersborgs FK had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Kumla had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Vänersborgs FK's last 10 and 5 of Kumla's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vänersborgs FK averaged 1.45 goals scored and 2.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kumla averaged 0.82 scored and 2.55 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.98 goals from Vänersborgs FK and 1.23 from Kumla. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 23%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vänersborgs FK (green) and Kumla (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vänersborgs FK | LLLWW | 1.10 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Kumla | LWLDD | 0.80 | 2.60 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Kumla 0–0 Vänersborgs FK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.