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Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordur prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Valur Reykjavik host FH hafnarfjordur in the Úrvalsdeild (Iceland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Valur Reykjavik 3–5 FH hafnarfjordur.
Going into the match, Valur Reykjavik had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 22. FH hafnarfjordur had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Valur Reykjavik's last 10 and 5 of FH hafnarfjordur's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Valur Reykjavik averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home FH hafnarfjordur averaged 1.00 scored and 2.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.08 goals from Valur Reykjavik and 1.66 from FH hafnarfjordur. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 30%, against 42%, 24% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Valur Reykjavik (green) and FH hafnarfjordur (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik | DWWDL | 1.80 | 2.20 | 70% | 70% |
| FH hafnarfjordur | WWLWD | 1.50 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Jul 2026 · FH hafnarfjordur 2–0 Valur Reykjavik
- 23 Apr 2026 · Valur Reykjavik 3–0 FH hafnarfjordur
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 11.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Valur Reykjavik Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Valur Reykjavik HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.