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1. Liga · Latvia
Valmiera / BSS vs Super Nova 2 prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Valmiera / BSS host Super Nova 2 in the 1. Liga (Latvia) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.74, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Valmiera / BSS 1–1 Super Nova 2.
Going into the match, Valmiera / BSS had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 30 and conceding 13. Super Nova 2 had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Valmiera / BSS's last 10 and 7 of Super Nova 2's last 10; 10 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Valmiera / BSS averaged 2.64 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Super Nova 2 averaged 1.50 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.11 goals from Valmiera / BSS and 0.83 from Super Nova 2. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 13%, against 78%, 13% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Valmiera / BSS (green) and Super Nova 2 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valmiera / BSS | LWDWW | 3.00 | 1.30 | 80% | 100% |
| Super Nova 2 | LDLDL | 1.00 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 May 2026 · Super Nova 2 0–0 Valmiera / BSS
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Valmiera / BSS HT & FT | 63% | 1.50 |
| Valmiera / BSS 1st Half Win | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.74 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.84 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.86 |
| 2-0 | 13% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.