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Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Spain

Valle Egüés vs Aoiz prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.22Market probability 75%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Valle Egüés host Aoiz in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Valle Egüés to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Valle Egüés 0–1 Aoiz.

Going into the match, Valle Egüés had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 20. Aoiz had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Valle Egüés's last 10 and 5 of Aoiz's last 9; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Valle Egüés averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Aoiz averaged 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Valle Egüés and 1.20 from Aoiz. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 32%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Valle Egüés (green) and Aoiz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form45% – 55%
Attack67% – 33%
Defence20% – 80%
Head-to-head80% – 20%
Goals67% – 33%
Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Valle EgüésWDLDW2.102.0080%80%
AoizDDWDL1.111.1156%33%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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