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Segunda División · Spain
Valladolid vs Albacete prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Valladolid host Albacete in the Segunda División (Spain) on 12 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Valladolid 5–0 Albacete.
Going into the match, Valladolid had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Albacete had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Valladolid's last 10 and 6 of Albacete's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Valladolid averaged 1.22 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Albacete averaged 0.70 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from Valladolid and 0.75 from Albacete. From that it rates a home win at 62%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 14%, against 47%, 28% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Valladolid (green) and Albacete (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | DWDLW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
| Albacete | LLLDL | 0.70 | 1.60 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.