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Toppserien · Norway
Vålerenga W vs Rosenborg W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vålerenga W host Rosenborg W in the Toppserien (Norway) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Vålerenga W had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 12. Rosenborg W had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Vålerenga W's last 10 and 7 of Rosenborg W's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vålerenga W averaged 2.64 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Rosenborg W averaged 1.56 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from Vålerenga W and 1.71 from Rosenborg W. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 35%, against 44%, 25% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vålerenga W (green) and Rosenborg W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vålerenga W | WWLWW | 3.20 | 1.20 | 70% | 80% |
| Rosenborg W | WDLWW | 2.20 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Jun 2026 · Rosenborg W 3–2 Vålerenga W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.46 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.56 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Vålerenga W Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Vålerenga W HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.