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3. Division - Girone 1 · Norway
Vålerenga II vs Frigg prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vålerenga II host Frigg in the 3. Division - Girone 1 (Norway) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Vålerenga II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vålerenga II 4–1 Frigg.
Going into the match, Vålerenga II had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 25. Frigg had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Vålerenga II's last 10 and 8 of Frigg's last 10; 9 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vålerenga II averaged 2.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Frigg averaged 2.56 scored and 2.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.98 goals from Vålerenga II and 2.00 from Frigg. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 25%, against 46%, 21% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vålerenga II (green) and Frigg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vålerenga II | WWLWW | 2.60 | 2.50 | 80% | 90% |
| Frigg | DLWLW | 2.10 | 2.70 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Apr 2026 · Frigg 3–3 Vålerenga II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 64% | 1.43 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.77 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Vålerenga II Win | 45% | 1.95 |
| Vålerenga II HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.