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Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy
Valenzana vs Saluzzo prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Valenzana host Saluzzo in the Coppa Italia Serie D (Italy) on 7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Saluzzo to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Valenzana 3–2 Saluzzo.
Going into the match, Valenzana had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 18. Saluzzo had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Valenzana's last 10 and 6 of Saluzzo's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Valenzana averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Saluzzo averaged 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Valenzana and 1.91 from Saluzzo. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 43%, against 45%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Valenzana (green) and Saluzzo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.79 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Valenzana HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.