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Primera División Femenina · Spain
Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Valencia W host Real Sociedad W in the Primera División Femenina (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Real Sociedad W Win — Real Sociedad W to win. It was published at odds of 1.83, which the bookmaker market rated at about 49% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Valencia W 0–1 Real Sociedad W.
Going into the match, Valencia W had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Real Sociedad W had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Valencia W's last 5 and 4 of Real Sociedad W's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Valencia W averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Real Sociedad W averaged 1.17 scored and 1.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.61 goals from Valencia W and 1.98 from Real Sociedad W. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 69%, against 25%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Valencia W (green) and Real Sociedad W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia W | LLLLL | 0.80 | 2.40 | 80% | 80% |
| Real Sociedad W | WLDDD | 1.40 | 1.70 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.