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Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Spain
Valencia II vs Peña Deportiva prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Valencia II host Peña Deportiva in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals — more than 0.5 goals in the first half. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Valencia II 3–2 Peña Deportiva.
Going into the match, Valencia II had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Peña Deportiva had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Valencia II's last 8 and 6 of Peña Deportiva's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Valencia II averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Peña Deportiva averaged 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Valencia II and 1.47 from Peña Deportiva. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 37%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Valencia II (green) and Peña Deportiva (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia II | LLLDL | 1.50 | 1.00 | 38% | 50% |
| Peña Deportiva | LLDLL | 1.40 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Valencia II Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Valencia II HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.