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Serie C - Girone B · Italy
Vado vs Forli prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vado host Forli in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vado 1–0 Forli.
Going into the match, Vado had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 18. Forli had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Vado's last 10 and 8 of Forli's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vado averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Forli averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Vado and 1.25 from Forli. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 31%, against 34%, 29% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vado (green) and Forli (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.