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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Uxbridge vs Evesham United prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Uxbridge host Evesham United in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Uxbridge Win — Uxbridge to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Uxbridge 1–0 Evesham United.
Going into the match, Uxbridge had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 7. Evesham United had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Uxbridge's last 10 and 5 of Evesham United's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Uxbridge averaged 2.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Evesham United averaged 1.57 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.26 goals from Uxbridge and 0.75 from Evesham United. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 10%, against 59%, 22% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Uxbridge (green) and Evesham United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge | WWWWD | 2.10 | 0.70 | 50% | 70% |
| Evesham United | LWWLD | 1.60 | 1.50 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Uxbridge Win | 58% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.15 |
| Uxbridge HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.