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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Utsikten vs Tvååker prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Utsikten host Tvååker in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Utsikten had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 22. Tvååker had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Utsikten's last 10 and 7 of Tvååker's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Utsikten averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Tvååker averaged 1.58 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Utsikten and 1.73 from Tvååker. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 49%, against 18%, 17% and 65% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Utsikten (green) and Tvååker (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Tvååker 2–2 Utsikten
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| Tvååker Win | 66% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| Tvååker HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.