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FA Cup · Thailand
Uthai Thani vs Nakhon Pathom prediction and preview
20 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Uthai Thani host Nakhon Pathom in the FA Cup (Thailand) on 20 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Uthai Thani 2–0 Nakhon Pathom.
Going into the match, Uthai Thani had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Nakhon Pathom had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 9, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Uthai Thani's last 10 and 3 of Nakhon Pathom's last 9; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Uthai Thani averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Nakhon Pathom averaged 0.50 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.38 goals from Uthai Thani and 0.97 from Nakhon Pathom. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 13%, against 67%, 21% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Uthai Thani (green) and Nakhon Pathom (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uthai Thani | DWWLW | 1.70 | 1.30 | 70% | 50% |
| Nakhon Pathom | WLWDD | 1.11 | 1.33 | 33% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Uthai Thani Win | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.84 |
| Uthai Thani HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 3-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- Suphanburi vs Lamphun Warrior · 20 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.72 · FT 0–4 - Udon United vs Lopburi City · 20 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.67 · FT 5–0