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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain

Utebo vs Arnedo prediction and preview

10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Utebo WinOdds 1.53Market probability 59%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Utebo host Arnedo in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Utebo Win — Utebo to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Utebo 0–0 Arnedo.

Going into the match, Utebo had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12. Arnedo had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Utebo's last 10 and 4 of Arnedo's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Utebo averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Arnedo averaged 0.86 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from Utebo and 0.87 from Arnedo. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 24%, against 58%, 23% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
UteboDLWDD0.801.2060%30%
ArnedoLLLLL0.801.9040%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals70%1.32
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.47
Utebo Win60%1.53
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.73
BTTS Yes52%1.75
Under 2.5 Goals45%2.08
Utebo HT & FT39%2.38
1-012%7.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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