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4. liga - Divizie C · Czech Republic
Ústí nad Orlicí vs Trutnov prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ústí nad Orlicí host Trutnov in the 4. liga - Divizie C (Czech Republic) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ústí nad Orlicí 1–2 Trutnov.
Going into the match, Ústí nad Orlicí had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 12. Trutnov had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ústí nad Orlicí's last 10 and 6 of Trutnov's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ústí nad Orlicí averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Trutnov averaged 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from Ústí nad Orlicí and 1.20 from Trutnov. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 22%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ústí nad Orlicí (green) and Trutnov (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Orlicí | WWDWW | 2.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Trutnov | WWWLD | 1.90 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.