Home › League stats › 4. liga - Divizie C › Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kolín
4. liga - Divizie C · Czech Republic
Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kolín prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ústí nad Orlicí host Kolín in the 4. liga - Divizie C (Czech Republic) on 4 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ústí nad Orlicí 2–1 Kolín.
Going into the match, Ústí nad Orlicí had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 12. Kolín had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ústí nad Orlicí's last 10 and 8 of Kolín's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ústí nad Orlicí averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kolín averaged 1.22 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.21 goals from Ústí nad Orlicí and 1.13 from Kolín. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 18%, against 59%, 21% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ústí nad Orlicí (green) and Kolín (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Orlicí | WDWWL | 2.30 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Kolín | LWWWL | 1.80 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí Win | 59% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.50 |
| Ústí nad Orlicí HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.