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FNL · Czech Republic
Ústí nad Labem vs Opava prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ústí nad Labem host Opava in the FNL (Czech Republic) on 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ústí nad Labem 2–3 Opava.
Going into the match, Ústí nad Labem had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 7. Opava had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ústí nad Labem's last 10 and 8 of Opava's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ústí nad Labem averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Opava averaged 0.83 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Ústí nad Labem and 0.92 from Opava. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 18%, against 47%, 26% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ústí nad Labem (green) and Opava (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Labem | WLDWD | 1.60 | 0.70 | 40% | 40% |
| Opava | DWDLD | 1.30 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 May 2026 · Ústí nad Labem 2–1 Opava
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.