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Ligue 2 · Algeria
USM Annaba vs US Chaouia prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
USM Annaba host US Chaouia in the Ligue 2 (Algeria) on 9 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: USM Annaba 3–0 US Chaouia.
Going into the match, USM Annaba had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 8 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. US Chaouia had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of USM Annaba's last 8 and 5 of US Chaouia's last 10; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home USM Annaba averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home US Chaouia averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from USM Annaba and 0.57 from US Chaouia. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 14%, against 52%, 29% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between USM Annaba (green) and US Chaouia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Annaba | WLWLL | 0.63 | 0.75 | 13% | 25% |
| US Chaouia | DLDLW | 1.30 | 0.80 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.56 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| USM Annaba Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| USM Annaba HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.