Home › League stats › Ligue 2 › USM Annaba vs Paradou AC
Ligue 2 · Algeria
USM Annaba vs Paradou AC prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
USM Annaba host Paradou AC in the Ligue 2 (Algeria) on 2 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: USM Annaba 2–1 Paradou AC.
Going into the match, USM Annaba had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 7 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Paradou AC had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 8, with 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 0 of USM Annaba's last 7 and 5 of Paradou AC's last 8; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home USM Annaba averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Paradou AC averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from USM Annaba and 0.82 from Paradou AC. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 16%, against 37%, 30% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between USM Annaba (green) and Paradou AC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USM Annaba | LWLLL | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0% | 14% |
| Paradou AC | WDLLL | 1.50 | 1.63 | 63% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| USM Annaba Win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| 0-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.