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Ligue 1 · Algeria
USM Alger vs JS Saoura prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
USM Alger host JS Saoura in the Ligue 1 (Algeria) on 13 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is USM Alger Win — USM Alger to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: USM Alger 1–0 JS Saoura.
Going into the match, USM Alger had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. JS Saoura had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of USM Alger's last 10 and 2 of JS Saoura's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home USM Alger averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home JS Saoura averaged 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from USM Alger and 0.50 from JS Saoura. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 13%, against 57%, 28% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between USM Alger (green) and JS Saoura (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 61% | 1.50 |
| USM Alger Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.