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Second NL · Croatia
Uskok Klis vs Jarun prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Uskok Klis host Jarun in the Second NL (Croatia) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Uskok Klis had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 14. Jarun had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Uskok Klis's last 10 and 8 of Jarun's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Uskok Klis averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Jarun averaged 1.00 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.43 goals from Uskok Klis and 1.43 from Jarun. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 21%, against 50%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Uskok Klis (green) and Jarun (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uskok Klis | WLWDW | 2.10 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
| Jarun | WDDWD | 1.80 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Uskok Klis Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Uskok Klis HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.