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Serie D - Girone H · Italy
USD Palmese vs Nardò prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
USD Palmese host Nardò in the Serie D - Girone H (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Nardò to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: USD Palmese 4–2 Nardò.
Going into the match, USD Palmese had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 9 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 17. Nardò had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of USD Palmese's last 9 and 3 of Nardò's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home USD Palmese averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Nardò averaged 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from USD Palmese and 0.88 from Nardò. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 14%. For the published pick itself the model gives 37%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between USD Palmese (green) and Nardò (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Palmese | LLWDL | 0.67 | 1.89 | 22% | 44% |
| Nardò | LWDDL | 0.70 | 1.00 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.