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Friendlies Women · International
USA W vs Spain W prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
USA W host Spain W in the Friendlies Women (International) on 13 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: USA W 2–2 Spain W.
Going into the match, USA W had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 8 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Spain W had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5, with 17 scored and 2 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of USA W's last 8 and 1 of Spain W's last 5; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home USA W averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Spain W averaged 2.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
The 1X2 prices imply about 35% for USA W, 28% for the draw and 37% for Spain W once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between USA W (green) and Spain W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 Oct 2026 · USA W 0–2 Spain W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.37 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.