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CONCACAF Nations League · International
US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
US Virgin Islands host Saint Martin in the CONCACAF Nations League (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Saint Martin Win — Saint Martin to win. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: US Virgin Islands 0–5 Saint Martin.
Going into the match, US Virgin Islands had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 1. Saint Martin had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2, with 8 scored and 2 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of US Virgin Islands's last 2 and 0 of Saint Martin's last 2; 1 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home US Virgin Islands averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Saint Martin averaged 8.00 scored and 0.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 11% for US Virgin Islands, 17% for the draw and 71% for Saint Martin once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between US Virgin Islands (green) and Saint Martin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Virgin Islands | WW | 2.50 | 0.50 | 50% | 50% |
| Saint Martin | LW | 4.00 | 1.00 | 0% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 2 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Sep 2026 · Saint Martin 0–2 US Virgin Islands
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Saint Martin Win | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.68 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.76 |
| Saint Martin HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 35% | 2.70 |
| 0-2 | 13% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.