Home › League stats › National Division › US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn
National Division · Luxembourg
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
US Hostert host Progres Niederkorn in the National Division (Luxembourg) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: US Hostert 0–2 Progres Niederkorn.
Going into the match, US Hostert had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Progres Niederkorn had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of US Hostert's last 10 and 4 of Progres Niederkorn's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home US Hostert averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Progres Niederkorn averaged 1.91 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from US Hostert and 1.47 from Progres Niederkorn. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 41%, against 26%, 23% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between US Hostert (green) and Progres Niederkorn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Hostert | DDDWL | 1.50 | 1.30 | 50% | 30% |
| Progres Niederkorn | WDWWL | 2.10 | 0.60 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.52 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Progres Niederkorn Win | 52% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Progres Niederkorn HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| 1-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.