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Ligue 2 · Algeria
US Chaouia vs Paradou AC prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
US Chaouia host Paradou AC in the Ligue 2 (Algeria) on 13 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: US Chaouia 1–0 Paradou AC.
Going into the match, US Chaouia had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Paradou AC had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 9, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of US Chaouia's last 10 and 6 of Paradou AC's last 9; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home US Chaouia averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Paradou AC averaged 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from US Chaouia and 0.83 from Paradou AC. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 24%, against 48%, 30% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between US Chaouia (green) and Paradou AC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Chaouia | LDLDL | 1.30 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Paradou AC | LWDLL | 1.44 | 1.67 | 67% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.65 |
| US Chaouia Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| US Chaouia HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.