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Segunda División · Uruguay
Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Uruguay Montevideo host Colón in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Colón to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Uruguay Montevideo 1–3 Colón.
Going into the match, Uruguay Montevideo had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 15. Colón had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Uruguay Montevideo's last 10 and 3 of Colón's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Uruguay Montevideo averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Colón averaged 0.69 scored and 1.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Uruguay Montevideo and 1.35 from Colón. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 42%, against 27%, 29% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Uruguay Montevideo (green) and Colón (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay Montevideo | LLLDL | 0.80 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
| Colón | DLLDL | 0.70 | 1.40 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jul 2026 · Colón 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.69 |
| Colón Win | 43% | 2.05 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Colón HT & FT | 27% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.