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Emperor Cup · Japan
Urawa vs Omiya Ardija prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Urawa host Omiya Ardija in the Emperor Cup (Japan) on 7 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Urawa to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Urawa 3–2 Omiya Ardija.
Going into the match, Urawa had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 20. Omiya Ardija had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Urawa's last 10 and 7 of Omiya Ardija's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Urawa averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Omiya Ardija averaged 1.69 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.41 goals from Urawa and 1.22 from Omiya Ardija. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 9%, against 51%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 91%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Urawa (green) and Omiya Ardija (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa | WWLWW | 2.20 | 2.00 | 80% | 90% |
| Omiya Ardija | DWDDD | 1.90 | 1.10 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Urawa 2–2 Omiya Ardija
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.45 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.