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First League · Russia
Ural vs Veles prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ural host Veles in the First League (Russia) on 10 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ural Win — Ural to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ural 1–2 Veles.
Going into the match, Ural had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 7. Veles had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Ural's last 10 and 6 of Veles's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ural averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Veles averaged 0.67 scored and 1.07 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Ural and 0.75 from Veles. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 19%, against 66%, 21% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ural (green) and Veles (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| Ural Win | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.69 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.