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Youth Championship · Russia
Ural U20 vs Lokomotiv Moskva U19 prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ural U20 host Lokomotiv Moskva U19 in the Youth Championship (Russia) on 16 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Lokomotiv Moskva U19 Win — Lokomotiv Moskva U19 to win. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ural U20 5–7 Lokomotiv Moskva U19.
Going into the match, Ural U20 had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 23. Lokomotiv Moskva U19 had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ural U20's last 10 and 6 of Lokomotiv Moskva U19's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ural U20 averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Lokomotiv Moskva U19 averaged 1.75 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Ural U20 and 2.41 from Lokomotiv Moskva U19. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 53%, against 18%, 18% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ural U20 (green) and Lokomotiv Moskva U19 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ural U20 | WLWLL | 1.40 | 2.30 | 40% | 70% |
| Lokomotiv Moskva U19 | LLWLW | 1.60 | 1.90 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 May 2026 · Lokomotiv Moskva U19 5–1 Ural U20
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 68% | 1.35 |
| Lokomotiv Moskva U19 Win | 64% | 1.41 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 53% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.76 |
| Lokomotiv Moskva U19 HT & FT | 49% | 1.89 |
| 1-2 | 11% | 8.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.