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Second League - Group 4 · Russia
Ural II vs Nosta prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ural II host Nosta in the Second League - Group 4 (Russia) on 4 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.56, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ural II 1–2 Nosta.
Going into the match, Ural II had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 22. Nosta had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Ural II's last 10 and 6 of Nosta's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ural II averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Nosta averaged 1.00 scored and 2.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Ural II and 1.22 from Nosta. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 25%, against 40%, 24% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ural II (green) and Nosta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Nosta 0–1 Ural II
- 16 Aug 2026 · Ural II 1–2 Nosta
- 7 Jun 2026 · Nosta 0–2 Ural II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.27 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.54 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.28 |
| Ural II Win | 40% | 2.36 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 39% | 2.42 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.