UPDF vs BUL prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.80Market probability 51%Final score 0–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

UPDF host BUL in the Premier League (Uganda) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — UPDF to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: UPDF 0–2 BUL.

Going into the match, UPDF had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11. BUL had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of UPDF's last 10 and 4 of BUL's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home UPDF averaged 0.71 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home BUL averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.65 goals from UPDF and 1.28 from BUL. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 51%, against 23%, 30% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between UPDF (green) and BUL (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 62%

Attack27% – 73%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head60% – 40%

Goals63% – 38%

Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
UPDF	WWDLD	0.60	1.10	40%	40%
BUL	DWWWW	1.20	0.90	40%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

21 Apr 2026 · BUL 2–5 UPDF