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1st Division · South Africa
University of Pretoria vs Hungry Lions prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
University of Pretoria host Hungry Lions in the 1st Division (South Africa) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: University of Pretoria 0–2 Hungry Lions.
Going into the match, University of Pretoria had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 13. Hungry Lions had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of University of Pretoria's last 10 and 4 of Hungry Lions's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home University of Pretoria averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Hungry Lions averaged 1.17 scored and 0.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from University of Pretoria and 1.49 from Hungry Lions. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 52%, against 41%, 31% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between University of Pretoria (green) and Hungry Lions (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Pretoria | WDDWL | 1.50 | 1.30 | 30% | 30% |
| Hungry Lions | WDWLD | 1.30 | 0.70 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Apr 2026 · Hungry Lions 4–2 University of Pretoria
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.65 |
| University of Pretoria Win | 38% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.90 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1st Division matches that day
- Leicesterfield vs NWU FC · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - The Bees vs Casric Stars · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 0–1 - Upington City vs Orbit College · 17 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Double Chance 1X