Universitatea Craiova vs Farul Constanta prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Universitatea Craiova WinOdds 1.40Market probability 66%Final score 2–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Universitatea Craiova host Farul Constanta in the Liga I (Romania) on 18 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Universitatea Craiova Win — Universitatea Craiova to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Universitatea Craiova 2–0 Farul Constanta.

Going into the match, Universitatea Craiova had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Farul Constanta had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Universitatea Craiova's last 10 and 6 of Farul Constanta's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Universitatea Craiova averaged 2.41 goals scored and 0.76 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Farul Constanta averaged 1.00 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.19 goals from Universitatea Craiova and 0.54 from Farul Constanta. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 7%, against 64%, 23% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Universitatea Craiova (green) and Farul Constanta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form62% – 38%

Attack63% – 37%

Defence88% – 13%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals47% – 53%

Overall strength66% – 33%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Universitatea Craiova	DWWWW	1.90	0.60	50%	40%
Farul Constanta	WWLWD	1.40	1.30	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	80%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	65%	1.44
Universitatea Craiova Win	64%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
Over 2.5 Goals	56%	1.70
BTTS No	50%	1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.