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Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Universidad de Concepcion host Huachipato in the Primera División (Chile) on 2 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Universidad de Concepcion 0–2 Huachipato.
Going into the match, Universidad de Concepcion had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Huachipato had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Universidad de Concepcion's last 10 and 6 of Huachipato's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Universidad de Concepcion averaged 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Huachipato averaged 1.08 scored and 1.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.16 goals from Universidad de Concepcion and 1.38 from Huachipato. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 41%, against 47%, 27% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Universidad de Concepcion (green) and Huachipato (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Concepcion | LLWLL | 0.70 | 1.50 | 40% | 40% |
| Huachipato | WDLLL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Universidad de Concepcion Win | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.