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Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile vs Nublense prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Universidad de Chile host Nublense in the Primera División (Chile) on 12 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Universidad de Chile Win — Universidad de Chile to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Universidad de Chile 6–0 Nublense.
Going into the match, Universidad de Chile had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Nublense had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Universidad de Chile's last 10 and 6 of Nublense's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Universidad de Chile averaged 1.92 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Nublense averaged 0.92 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.71 goals from Universidad de Chile and 0.87 from Nublense. From that it rates a home win at 76%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 9%, against 62%, 23% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Universidad de Chile (green) and Nublense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | LWDWW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Nublense | WLLLL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Apr 2026 · Nublense 1–0 Universidad de Chile
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Universidad de Chile Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.