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Copa Chile · Chile
Universidad de Chile vs Antofagasta prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Universidad de Chile host Antofagasta in the Copa Chile (Chile) on 21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Universidad de Chile had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 11. Antofagasta had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Universidad de Chile's last 10 and 4 of Antofagasta's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Universidad de Chile averaged 2.23 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Antofagasta averaged 1.64 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Universidad de Chile and 1.15 from Antofagasta. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 29%, against 71%, 18% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Universidad de Chile (green) and Antofagasta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | WLWDW | 2.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 70% |
| Antofagasta | DWWWW | 1.80 | 0.60 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Oct 2026 · Antofagasta 2–0 Universidad de Chile
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Universidad de Chile Win | 71% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| Universidad de Chile HT & FT | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.29 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.